Assessment of Evaporative Demand Drought Index for drought analysis in Peninsular Malaysia.

Sci Total Environ

Center for Earth Sciences and Environment, Faculty of Science and Technology, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, Malaysia. Electronic address:

Published: March 2024

AI Article Synopsis

  • An effective drought monitoring tool is necessary for creating timely early warning systems, and this study analyzes the Evaporative Demand Drought Index (EDDI) as a reliable drought indicator in Peninsular Malaysia from 1989 to 2018.
  • The research utilized statistical methods to assess trends in EDDI, along with other indices like SPI and SPEI, finding that EDDI correlates strongly with them and effectively identifies severe drought events.
  • The study concludes that EDDI, particularly at a 2-week timescale, is capable of matching the severity and duration of historical droughts and suggests further investigation into the mechanisms of flash droughts and evaporation's role in drought progression.

Article Abstract

An effective drought monitoring tool is essential for the development of timely drought early warning system. This study evaluates Evaporative Demand Drought Index (EDDI) as a drought indicator in measuring spatiotemporal evolution of droughts over Peninsular Malaysia during 1989-2018. The modified Mann-Kendall and Sen's slope tests were performed to detect the presence of monotonic trends in EDDI, Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and their related climate variables. The performance of EDDI in capturing the drought onset, evolutions and demise of historical severe droughts was also compared with SPI and SPEI at multiple timescales. EDDI demonstrates strong spatiotemporal correlations with SPI and SPEI and comparable performance in historical drought events identification. At sub-monthly timescale, 2-week EDDI displays equivalent drought severities and durations for all historical severe droughts corresponding to the monthly EDDI. In the case when rainfall deficits are normalized in an otherwise warm and dry month, EDDI may serve as a great alternative to SPI and SPEI due to it being sensitive to the changes in prevalent atmospheric conditions. Collectively, the results fill in the knowledge gaps on drought evolutions from the evaporative perspective and highlight the efficacy of EDDI as a valuable drought early warning tool for Peninsular Malaysia. Future study should explore the physical mechanisms behind the development of flash drought and the role of evaporation in the drought propagation processes.

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Source
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170249DOI Listing

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