The strengthened impact of water availability at interannual and decadal time scales on vegetation GPP.

Glob Chang Biol

Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing, China.

Published: January 2024

Water availability (WA) is a key factor influencing the carbon cycle of terrestrial ecosystems under climate warming, but its effects on gross primary production (E ) at multiple time scales are poorly understood. We used ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) and partial correlation analysis to assess the WA-GPP relationship (R ) at different time scales, and geographically weighted regression (GWR) to analyze their temporal dynamics from 1982 to 2018 with multiple GPP datasets, including near-infrared radiance of vegetation GPP, FLUXCOM GPP, and eddy covariance-light-use efficiency GPP. We found that the 3- and 7-year time scales dominated global WA variability (61.18% and 11.95%), followed by the 17- and 40-year time scales (7.28% and 8.23%). The long-term trend also influenced 10.83% of the regions, mainly in humid areas. We found consistent spatiotemporal patterns of the E and R with different source products: In high-latitude regions, R changed from negative to positive as the time scale increased, while the opposite occurred in mid-low latitudes. Forests had weak R at all time scales, shrublands showed negative R at long time scales, and grassland (GL) showed a positive R at short time scales. Globally, the E , whether positive or negative, enhanced significantly at 3-, 7-, and 17-year time scales. For arid and humid zones, the semi-arid and sub-humid zones experienced a faster increase in the positive E , whereas the humid zones experienced a faster increase in the negative E . At the ecosystem types, the positive E at a 3-year time scale increased faster in GL, deciduous broadleaf forest, and savanna (SA), whereas the negative E at other time scales increased faster in evergreen needleleaf forest, woody savannas, and SA. Our study reveals the complex and dynamic E at multiple time scales, which provides a new perspective for understanding the responses of terrestrial ecosystems to climate change.

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Source
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.17138DOI Listing

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