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Projected income data under different shared socioeconomic pathways for Washington state. | LitMetric

Projected income data under different shared socioeconomic pathways for Washington state.

Sci Data

Risk & Environmental Assessment Group, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, 99352, USA.

Published: January 2024

High-resolution income projections under different Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) are essential for the climate change research communities to devise climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies. To generate income projections for Washington state, we obtain state-level GDP per capita projections and convert them into projected annual household income. The resulting state-level income projections are subsequently downscaled to the census block-level based on the Longitudinal Origin-Destination Employment Statistics (LODES) dataset. For accuracy assessment, we downscale historical income data from state- level to block- and block group-level and compare the downscaled results against the actual income data from LODES. County-level accuracy assessment is also conducted based on American Community Survey. The results demonstrate a good agreement (Average R of 0.67, 0.8, and 0.99 for block-, block group-, and county-level, respectively) between the downscaled income data and the reference data, thereby validating the methodology employed. Our approach is applicable to other states for income projections, which can be utilized by a broader audience, including those involved in demographic analysis, economic research, and urban planning.

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Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10796341PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41597-023-02906-5DOI Listing

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