Radiomics for the prediction of a postoperative pancreatic fistula following a pancreatoduodenectomy: A systematic review and radiomic score quality assessment.

Background: Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) is a severe complication following a pancreatoduodenectomy. An accurate prediction of POPF could assist the surgeon in offering tailor-made treatment decisions. The use of radiomic features has been introduced to predict POPF. A systematic review was conducted to evaluate the performance of models predicting POPF using radiomic features and to systematically evaluate the methodological quality.

Methods: Studies with patients undergoing a pancreatoduodenectomy and radiomics analysis on computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging were included. Methodological quality was assessed using the Radiomics Quality Score (RQS) and Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) statement.

Results: Seven studies were included in this systematic review, comprising 1300 patients, of whom 364 patients (28 %) developed POPF. The area under the curve (AUC) of the included studies ranged from 0.76 to 0.95. Only one study externally validated the model, showing an AUC of 0.89 on this dataset. Overall adherence to the RQS (31 %) and TRIPOD guidelines (54 %) was poor.

Conclusion: This systematic review showed that high predictive power was reported of studies using radiomic features to predict POPF. However, the quality of most studies was poor. Future studies need to standardize the methodology.

Registration: not registered.