Machine learning-based model constructed from ultrasound radiomics and clinical features for predicting HER2 status in breast cancer patients with indeterminate (2+) immunohistochemical results.

Background: We aimed to predict human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) 2+ status in patients with breast cancer by constructing and validating machine learning models utilizing ultrasound (US) radiomics and clinical features.

Methods: We analyzed 203 breast cancer cases immunohistochemically determined as HER2 2+ and used fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) as the confirmation method. From each case, the study analyzed 840 extracted radiomics features and 11 clinicopathologic features. Cases were randomly split into training (n = 141) and validation sets (n = 62) at a 7:3 ratio. Univariate logistic regression analysis was first performed on the 11 clinicopathologic characteristics. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and decision tree (DT) techniques were employed for post-feature selection. Finally, 19 radiomics features were utilized in logistic regression (LR) and Naive Bayesian (NB) classifiers. Model performance was gauged using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity.

Results: Our models exhibited notable diagnostic efficacy in differentiating HER2-positive from negative breast cancer cases. In the validation sets, the LR model outperformed the NB model with an AUC of 0.860 and accuracy of 83.8% compared to NB's AUC of 0.684 and accuracy of 79.0%. The LR model demonstrated higher sensitivity (92.3% vs. 46.2%) while the NB model had a better specificity (91.8% vs. 63.3%) in the validation set.

Conclusions: Machine learning models grounded on radiomics efficiently predicted IHC HER2 2+ status in breast cancer patients, suggesting potential enhancements in clinical decision-making for treatment and management.