Communicating health-related probabilities to patients and the public presents challenges, although multiple studies have demonstrated that we can promote comprehension and appropriate application of numbers by matching presentation formats (e.g., percentage, bar charts, icon arrays) to communication goal (e.g., improving recall, decreasing worry, taking action). We used this literature to create goal-driven, evidence-based guidance to support health communicators in conveying probabilities. We then conducted semi-structured interviews with 39 health communicators to understand: communicators' goals for expressing probabilities, formats they choose to convey probabilities, and perceptions of prototypes of our "communicating numbers clearly" guidance. We found that communicators struggled to articulate granular goals for their communication, impeding their ability to select appropriate guidance. Future work should consider how best to support health communicators in selecting granular, differentiable goals to support broadly comprehensible information design.

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http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10785911PMC

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