Prognostic Role of Tricuspid Annular Plane Systolic Excursion to Systolic Pulmonary Artery Pressure Ratio for the Identification of Early Clinical Deterioration in Intermediate-High-Risk Pulmonary Embolism Patients.

The ratio of tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) to echocardiographically measured systolic pulmonary artery pressure (PASP) has been proposed as a surrogate of RV-arterial coupling. In this analysis, we assess the prognostic role of TAPSE/PASP for early clinical deterioration and short-term mortality in an often clinically challenging population of intermediate-high-risk patients with pulmonary embolism (PE). A post hoc analysis of intermediate-high-risk patients with PE enrolled in the Italian Pulmonary Embolism Registry (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01604538) was performed. All patients underwent transthoracic echocardiography at admission. The primary and secondary outcomes were clinical deterioration within 48 hours from admission and 30-day all-cause mortality, respectively. In 422 intermediate-high-risk patients with PE (mean age 71.2 ± 5.3 years, 238 men), 37 (8.7%) experienced clinical deterioration within 48 hours of admission. The 30-day mortality rate was 6.6% (n = 28). The receiver operating characteristic analysis established 0.33 as the optimal cut-off value for the TAPSE/PASP in predicting 48-hour clinical deterioration (area under the curve 0.79 ± 0.1). The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were 81%, 88.5%, 40.5%, and 97.9%, respectively. The multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that a TAPSE/PASP ≤0.33 was an independent predictor of 48-hour clinical deterioration (hazard ratio 2.06, 95% confidence interval 1.98 to 2.11, p <0.0001) and 30-day mortality (hazard ratio 2.28, 95% confidence interval 2.25 to 2.33, p <0.001). TAPSE/PASP shows promise as a noninvasive prognostic predictor to identify intermediate-high-risk patients with PE at a higher risk of early clinical deterioration and short-term mortality.