Moderate and high disease activity levels increase the risk of subclinical atherosclerosis progression in early rheumatoid arthritis: a 5-year prospective study.

Objectives: To elucidate the association between different disease activity levels over time on long-term vascular outcomes in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis (ERA).

Methods: This was a 5-year prospective study. Patients with consecutive ERA without overt cardiovascular disease (CVD) were recruited to receive 1 year of tight-control treatment followed by standard-of-care management. High-resolution carotid ultrasound was assessed at baseline and year 5. The primary outcome was subclinical atherosclerosis progression (AP+), defined as the occurrence of incident plaque, increased region harbouring plaques and/or maximum carotid intima-media thickness progression ≥0.9 mm at year 5. Inflammatory burden during the follow-up period was represented by the cumulative average Disease Activity Score 28-erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ca-DAS28-ESR). Persistent low disease activity (LDA) or remission state was defined as ca-DAS28-ESR≤3.2.

Results: One-hundred and four patients with ERA (age: 52±11 years, 81 (77.9%) female) were included in this analysis. Fifty-two (50%) patients achieved persistent LDA or remission and 42 patients (40.4%) had AP+. Patients in the AP+ group were older and had more traditional cardiovascular risk factors at baseline. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that patients with persistent moderate or high disease activity (ca-DAS28-ESR>3.2) had a significantly increased risk of AP+ (OR 5.05, 95% CI 1.53, 16.64, p=0.008) compared with those who achieved persistent remission. The risk of AP+ was similar in patients who achieved persistent LDA and remission.

Conclusions: Achieving persistent LDA or remission may prevent progression of atherosclerosis in ERA. A treat-to-target approach aiming at sustained LDA or remission may reduce the risk of CVD by preventing AP+.