Eucapnic pH coupled with arterial cord pH improves hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy prediction.

Objective: To consider the classical use of "pH < 7.0 and/or a base deficiency ≥12 mmol/L" as markers of the risk of neonatal hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE), recalling various criticisms of the use of these markers in favor of that of neonatal eucapnic pH, which appears to be a better marker of this risk.

Methods: Fifty-five cases of acidemia with pH < 7.00 were collected from a cohort from the Nice University Hospital with eight cases of HIE. We compared the receiver operating characteristics curves established from the positive likelihood ratio (+LR) for each case of: umbilical cord artery pH (pHa), neonatal eucapnic pH (pH euc-n) in isolation (not matched to pHa), and matched pHa to its own pH euc-n.

Results: The areas under the curve (AUC) are identical for pHa and pH euc-n, but AUC for the matched pair pHa-pH euc-n appears superior but non-significant because of the small number in our cohort. However, using the bootstrap method, the partial AUC for a sensitivity greater than 75% indicates the significant superiority (P < 0.01) of the matched pair pHa-pH euc-n approach.

Conclusion: The originality of this study lies in the use of two methodologic approaches: (1) standardized partial analysis of the AUCs of the pHa curve and that of pHa matched to its own pH euc-n, and (2) bootstrap statistical technique, that allowed us to conclude (P < 0.01) that the combined use of pH measured at the cord coupled with its eucapnic correction is better for diagnosing metabolic acidosis and best predicting the risk of HIE.