Predictors and prognostic factors influencing outcomes of anti-CD20 monoclonal antibodies in systemic lupus erythematosus: A systematic review update.

Background: Anti-C20 monoclonal antibodies (MAb), such as rituximab, are commonly used for the treatment of patients with severe or refractory systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) but clinical outcomes are highly variable. We aimed to provide an update of a systematic review of predictive and prognostic factors of anti-CD20 MAb treatment in SLE.

Methods: A systematic literature search was undertaken to identify predictive and prognostic factors of clinical response following treatment with anti-CD20 therapies in SLE patients. Studies examining rituximab published prior to 2015 were excluded. Risk of bias was assessed for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) using the Cochrane Collaboration (RoB2) tool for RCTs and the Quality In Prognosis Studies Tool (QUIPS) for cohort studies. A narrative synthesis of the evidence was undertaken and quality of evidence (QoE) was assessed in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines.

Results: From 850 studies identified, 17 studies met the inclusion criteria. A further 8 studies were identified and included through search updates. There were two post-hoc analyses of RCTs of rituximab, one RCT of ocrelizumab and one of obinutuzumab; and 16 cohort studies examining rituximab treatment. The overall QoE was low or very low. There was wide heterogeneity in definitions of clinical disease activity and outcome measures, non-standardized laboratory cut-offs, failure to account for confounders and multiple subgroup analyses of differing outcomes. B cell depletion as well as novel biomarkers, such as S100 proteins, FCGR genotype, anti-vimentin and anti-drug antibodies showed some evidence of prognostic value but QoE was limited due to moderate to high risk of bias, early phase of investigation and imprecision of results.

Conclusion: There has been no validation of previously identified prognostic factors to guide outcome in anti-CD20 treated lupus patients. Hypothesis-driven studies of several novel markers however, demonstrate prognostic value and require replication and validation to support their use in routine clinical practice.

Prospero Registration Number: CRD42020220339.