Risk factors for prolonged grief symptoms: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Background: The diagnosis Prolonged Grief Disorder (PGD) has recently been included in ICD-11 and DSM-5-TR. To identify individuals who need help coping with grief, knowledge is needed about who is at risk of developing PGD. We, therefore, conducted a comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis of the available literature on risk factors for prolonged grief symptoms (PGS).

Methods: Based on a literature search in PsycInfo, PubMed, Web of Science, and CINAHL, we included the most frequently investigated risk factors in a meta-analysis. The effect size correlation was used as the standardized measure of the strength of the association between the risk factor and PGS.

Results: Based on 120 studies of 61.580 participants published between 1989 and 2023, 19 risk factors were included in the meta-analysis. For the adjusted associations, the strongest associations with PGS were pre-loss grief symptoms (ESr = 0.39, 95%CI[0.24-0.53]) and depression (ESr = 0.30, 95%CI[0.13-0.44]). Small, but statistically significant associations were observed for unexpected death, violent/unnatural death, low educational level, low income, female gender, anxious attachment style, and death of a child or partner.

Conclusions: An updated overview of risk factors for PGS is presented, including their predictive strength. The results offer knowledge that can aid prevention and early identification of people at risk of PGD.