Calculating Route: Functional Trajectories and Long-Term Outcomes in Survivors of Severe COVID-19.

Objectives: We investigated functional trajectories after severe COVID-19 and estimated their associations with adverse outcomes (falls, rehospitalizations, institutionalization, or death), cognition and post COVID-19 condition within 1-year of hospital discharge.

Design: Prospective cohort study.

Setting: A large academic medical center in Sao Paulo, Brazil.

Participants: Survivors of COVID-19 admissions to an intensive care unit.

Interventions: None.

Measurements: We evaluated participants' disability status before hospital admission and three, six, nine, and twelve months after discharge using 15 activities of daily living. During follow-up, cognition and post COVID-19 condition (defined as persistent symptoms with duration ≥2 months) were assessed. A latent class growth analysis was performed to investigate functional trajectories after discharge.

Results: We included 422 participants (median age 63 years, 13.5% were frail before COVID-19). Four distinct functional trajectories could be identified: "minimal disability trajectory" (37.4% of participants), "mild disability trajectory" (37.9%), "moderate disability trajectory" (16.8%), and "severe disability trajectory" (7.8%). Compared with minimal disability trajectory, the odds ratios (95% confidence interval) for 1-year adverse outcomes were 2.28 (1.38-3.76) for minor disability trajectory; 4.21 (2.10-8.42) for moderate disability trajectory; and 4.16 (1.51-11.46) for severe disability trajectory, even after adjustments. The occurrence of post COVID-19 condition was 67.5% and associated with functional trajectories (p=0.004). Cognition was also associated with functional trajectories.

Conclusion: Severe COVID-19 survivors can experience diverse functional trajectories, with those presenting higher levels of disability at increased risk for long-term adverse outcomes. Further investigations are essential to confirm our findings and assess the effectiveness of rehabilitation interventions, aiming to improve health outcomes in those who survived severe COVID-19 and other causes of sepsis.