Exponential feedback effects in a parametric resonance climate model.

Sci Rep

Dipartimento di Scienze Matematiche e Informatiche, Scienze Fisiche e Scienze della Terra, Università di Messina, Viale Ferdinando Stagno D'Alcontres n°31, S. Agata, 98166, Messina, Italy.

Published: December 2023

AI Article Synopsis

  • The Milankovitch cycle, responsible for changes in solar radiation due to Earth's eccentricity variation, cannot solely explain the significant temperature drop (6°C to 10°C) during the transition from interglacial to glacial periods over the last 550,000 years.
  • A minimal temperature change of only 0.2°C to 0.3°C is attributed to this cycle, indicating that additional factors, including positive feedback effects, must be considered to understand the observed climate shifts.
  • The study employs Wavelet-Fourier analysis on Vostok temperature data and discusses a climate parametric resonance model, suggesting that even small oscillations can exponentially amplify temperature changes, linking these variations to periodic influences within the solar system.

Article Abstract

The variations in the distribution of solar radiation due to the  ~ 10 years Milankovitch cycle, which is connected to the Earth eccentricity variation, cannot explain the sharp drop in temperature of 6 °C ÷ 10 °C that marks the transition from the interglacial to the glacial age registered in the last ~ 5.5 10 years temperature variation behavior. More specifically, neglecting other effects, only a temperature variation of 0.2 °C ÷ 0.3 °C can be attributed to this cycle and, therefore, positive feedback effects should be taken into account to explain the registered effect. In the present work, a comparative Wavelet-Fourier analysis of the Vostok recontructed temperature record, for which different sampling steps are taken into account, is performed. Then, a study of exponential feedback effects within a climate parametric resonance model is dealt and discussed. The obtained findings put into evidence an exponential amplification of the temperature variation from the interglacial to the glacial age supporting the hypothesis that the system energization be connected to periodic variations in the internal solar system parameters. More in details, it is shown that, following the parametric resonance climate model, even small oscillations increase over time proportionally to the system energy itself, i.e. exponentially, and hence, a series of connected resonances is able to energize the climate system.

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Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10752910PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-50350-7DOI Listing

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