Objectives: The current study aimed to examine how the trajectory of a body shape index (ABSI) could predict mortality in a prospective cohort of 5587 participants.
Methods: A Growth Mixture Model (GMM) was employed to identify ABSI and body shape trajectories spanning from 2000 to 2018. Multivariate Cox regression models with hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were built to assess the association of death from all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) with ABSI and body shape trajectories.
Results: We found that individuals with a low ABSI-marked increase (Class II) and high ABSI-marked increase trajectory (Class III) had a higher risk of all-cause (adjusted HR for Class II, 1.37; 95%CI, 1.04-1.79; adjusted HR for Class III, 1.42; 95%CI, 1.05-1.91) and non- CVD mortality (adjusted HR for Class II, 1.38; 95%CI, 1.00-1.91; adjusted HR for Class III, 1.42; 95%CI, 1.00-2.05) as well as an increased risk of CVD (adjusted HR for Class II, 1.40; 95%CI, 1.14-1.71; adjusted HR for Class III, 1.42; 95%CI, 1.13-1.78) and coronary heart disease (CHD) (adjusted HR for Class II, 1.52; 95%CI, 1.18-1.96; adjusted HR for Class III, 1.47; 95%CI, 1.11-1.95. The trajectories of body shape phenotypes did not show any significant associations with mortality, CVD, or CHD events.
Conclusions: ABSI trajectories might be associated with subsequent risk of mortality and CVD events.
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| http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fendo.2023.1259849 | DOI Listing |
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