Vitamin D supplements for fracture prevention in schoolchildren in Mongolia: analysis of secondary outcomes from a multicentre, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled trial.

Background: Vitamin D supplementation has been shown to increase total hip areal bone mineral density in healthy children and adolescents. We aimed to investigate whether supplementing schoolchildren living in Mongolia with weekly vitamin D for 3 years affected fracture risk.

Methods: We did a multicentre, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled trial across 18 public schools in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia. Schoolchildren were eligible if they were aged 6-13 years at screening, had a negative QuantiFERON-TB Gold In-tube assay (QFT) result, were not hypersensitive to vitamin D or immunocompromised, did not use vitamin D supplements, did not have clinical signs of rickets, and had no intention of leaving Ulaanbaatar within 3 years. Participants were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive either vitamin D (oral dose of 14 000 international units [IU] vitamin D, once per week) or placebo for 3 years using permuted block randomisation stratified by school of attendance. Participants, care providers, and all trial staff were masked to group assignment during the intervention. Prespecified secondary outcomes were incidence of fractures and adverse events, ascertained using questionnaires. The fracture and safety analyses included participants who completed at least one follow-up fracture questionnaire. We estimated adjusted risk ratios (RRs) and 95% CIs using generalised linear models with binomial distribution and a log link function with adjustment for school of attendance. The trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02276755, and the intervention ended in May, 2019.

Findings: Between Sept 2, 2015, and March 20, 2017, 11 475 children were invited to participate in the study and 8851 were recruited and randomly assigned to receive either vitamin D (n=4418) or placebo (n=4433). 8348 participants were included in the fracture and safety analyses (4176 [94·5%] in the vitamin D group and 4172 [94·1%] in the placebo group). Of these, 4125 (49·4%) were female, 4223 (50·6%) were male, and 7701 (92·2%) were of Khalkh ancestry. Median age was 9·2 years (IQR 8·0-10·7) and 7975 (95·5%) participants had baseline serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations less than 50 nmol/L. During a median follow-up of 3·0 years (IQR 2·9-3·1), 268 (6·4%) participants in the vitamin D group and 253 (6·1%) in the placebo group reported one or more fractures (adjusted RR 1·10, 95% CI 0·93-1·29; p=0·27). Incidence of adverse events did not differ between study groups.

Interpretation: Oral vitamin D supplementation at a dose of 14 000 IU/week for 3 years was safe, but did not influence fracture risk in schoolchildren living in Mongolia who had a high baseline prevalence of vitamin D deficiency.

Funding: US National Institutes of Health.