Enlarged right atrium predicts pacemaker implantation after atrial fibrillation ablation in patients with tachycardia-bradycardia syndrome.

Introduction: Although catheter ablation (CA) of tachycardia-bradycardia syndrome (TBS) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) is considered to be an effective treatment strategy, pacemaker implantations (PMIs) are often required even after a successful CA. This study aimed to elucidate the clinical predictors of a PMI after CA.

Methods: From 2011 to 2020, 103 consecutive patients diagnosed with TBS were retrospectively enrolled in the study. Among the 103 patients, 54 underwent a PMI and 49 CA of AF. During 47.4 ± 35.4 months after 1.4 ± 0.6 CA sessions, 37 (75.5%) of 49 patients were free from atrial arrhythmia recurrences. PMIs were performed in 11 patients (PMI group) and the remaining 38 did not receive a PMI (non-PMI group).

Results: When comparing the PMI and non-PMI groups, there were no differences in the basic mean heart rate (P = 0.36), maximum pauses detected by 24-hour Holter-monitoring (P = 0.61), and other clinical parameters between the two groups while the right atrial area index was larger (42.1 ± 24.0 vs. 21.8 ± 8.4 cm/m P = 0.002) in the PMI group than non-PMI group. The ROC curve analysis showed that the optimal cutoff point of the ratio of the right atrial area index to the left atrial area index for predicting a PMI following CA was 0.812 (Sensitivity 72.7%, specificity 71.1%, positive predictive value 42.1%, negative predictive value 90.0%, diagnostic accuracy 71.4%, AUC = 0.81).

Conclusion: Right atrial enlargement prior to CA was considered to be one of the risk factors for a PMI after CA of AF.