Finnish diabetes risk score outperformed triglyceride-glucose index in diabetes risk prediction.

Purpose: Triglyceride-Glucose (TyG) index is a surrogate marker of insulin resistance. This study compared the performance of TyG index and the Finnish diabetes risk score (FINDRISC) in diabetes risk prediction.

Methods: This cross-sectional study involved 122 young adults (aged 15-35 years) in Asaba, Delta State, Nigeria. Anthropometric measurements and biochemical analysis were done following standard protocols. Diabetes risk scoring was done using the FINDRISC questionnaire. TyG index was calculated logarithmically. Discrimination between TyG index and FINDRISC was done by plotting receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

Results: High risk participants had significantly (p < 0.001) higher mean values of body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) relative to the lower risk categories. Participants in TyG index Quartile 4 had significantly higher mean values of triglyceride (p < 0.001) and fasting plasma glucose (p < 0.05). BMI and triglyceride had the most significant (p < 0.001) positive correlation with FINDRISC and TyG index, respectively. A moderately elevated to high risk (FINDRISC ≥ 12) of developing diabetes was found in 14.8% of the participants; with a female preponderance (20.6%) relative to males (7.4%). More than half of the participants (52.5%) had slightly elevated risk and differences in diabetes risk susceptibility were significant (p < 0.001) across gender. FINDRISC had an AUC value of 0.826 while TyG index had an AUC value of 0.628 for diabetes risk prediction.

Conclusion: FINDRISC had a better performance than TyG index in the prediction of diabetes risk in this population. The use of other TyG-related parameters rather than TyG index is recommended in future studies.

Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40200-023-01252-y.