Modelling anticoagulation and health-related quality of life in those with atrial fibrillation: a secondary analysis of AFFIRM.

Associations of anticoagulation with primary endpoints in longitudinal studies are impacted by selection bias and time-varying covariates (e.g. comorbidities). We demonstrate how time-varying covariates and selection bias influence association estimates between anticoagulation and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in patients with atrial fibrillation. We performed a secondary analysis of the Atrial Fibrillation Follow-up Investigation of Rhythm Management trial quality of life substudy. Dichotomized warfarin use was ascertained at the study baseline, 2 months later, and annually for up to 6 years. HRQoL was measured at every time point using a self-reported ordinal 5-point Likert-scale (lower score and lower odds ratio represents better health-related quality of life). Static and time-varying covariates were ascertained throughout the study period. Confounder-adjusted generalized mixed model and generalized estimating equation regressions were used to demonstrate traditional association estimates between anticoagulation and HRQoL. Inverse probability of treatment and censorship weights were used to ascertain the influence of time-varying confounding and selection bias. Age-stratified analysis (age ≥ 70 years) evaluated for effect modification. 656 individuals were included in the analysis, 601 on warfarin at baseline. The association of warfarin use with better HRQoL over time strengthened when accounting for time-varying confounding and selection bias (OR 0.30, 95% CI 0.14-0.55) compared to traditional analyses (OR 0.61, 95% CI 0.38-0.97), and was most pronounced in those ≥ 70 years upon stratified analysis. Anticoagulation is associated with higher HRQoL in patients with atrial fibrillation, with time-varying confounding and selection bias likely influencing longitudinal estimates in anticoagulation-HRQoL research.