Differentiation of hypervirulent and classical with acquired drug resistance.

Unlabelled: Distinguishing hypervirulent (hvKp) from classical (cKp) strains is important for clinical care, surveillance, and research. Some combination of and are most commonly used, but it is unclear what combination of genotypic or phenotypic markers (e.g. siderophore concentration, mucoviscosity) most accurately predicts the hypervirulent phenotype. Further, acquisition of antimicrobial resistance may affect virulence and confound identification. Therefore, 49 strains that possessed some combination of and and had acquired resistance were assembled and categorized as hypervirulent hvKp (hvKp) (N=16) or cKp (N=33) via a murine infection model. Biomarker number, siderophore production, mucoviscosity, virulence plasmid's Mash/Jaccard distances to the canonical pLVPK, and Kleborate virulence score were measured and evaluated to accurately differentiate these pathotypes. Both stepwise logistic regression and a CART model were used to determine which variable was most predictive of the strain cohorts. The biomarker count alone was the strongest predictor for both analyses. For logistic regression the area under the curve for biomarker count was 0.962 (P = 0.004). The CART model generated the classification rule that a biomarker count = 5 would classify the strain as hvKP, resulting in a sensitivity for predicting hvKP of 94% (15/16), a specificity of 94% (31/33), and an overall accuracy of 94% (46/49). Although a count of ≥ 4 was 100% (16/16) sensitive for predicting hvKP, the specificity and accuracy decreased to 76% (25/33) and 84% (41/49) respectively. These findings can be used to inform the identification of hvKp.

Importance: Hypervirulent (hvKp) is a concerning pathogen that can cause life-threatening infections in otherwise healthy individuals. Importantly, although strains of hvKp have been acquiring antimicrobial resistance, the effect on virulence is unclear. Therefore, it is of critical importance to determine whether a given antimicrobial resistant isolate is hypervirulent. This report determined which combination of genotypic and phenotypic markers could most accurately identify hvKp strains with acquired resistance. Both logistic regression and a machine-learning prediction model demonstrated that biomarker count alone was the strongest predictor. The presence of all 5 of the biomarkers and was most accurate (94%); the presence of ≥ 4 of these biomarkers was most sensitive (100%). Accurately identifying hvKp is vital for surveillance and research, and the availability of biomarker data could alert the clinician that hvKp is a consideration, which in turn would assist in optimizing patient care.