What happens in the shadows - Influence of seasonal and non-seasonal dynamics on domoic acid monitoring in the Monterey Bay upwelling shadow.

Domoic acid produced by toxigenic Pseudo-nitzschia species is the main toxin threat from harmful algal blooms in Monterey Bay and the larger California Current region on the West Coast of the United States. Toxin monitoring in Monterey Bay includes a long-running time series of weekly measurements of domoic acid from water samples, sentinel mussels, and solid phase adsorption toxin tracking (SPATT) at the Santa Cruz Municipal Wharf (SCW). The SCW sampling site is unusual because of its position in the Monterey Bay upwelling shadow in the north bay. The upwelling shadow circulation pattern has been previously characterized as a bloom incubator for dinoflagellates, but it has not yet been analyzed in the context of long-term monitoring methods. In data collected from the SCW from 2012 - 2020, domoic acid from water samples and sentinel mussels had a different temporal distribution than domoic acid from SPATT. Here we explore the discrepancy through a seasonal and non-seasonal analysis including physical oceanography of the region. Results show that domoic acid from water samples and sentinel mussels are related to seasonal upwelling and Pseudo-nitzschia blooms. Domoic acid monitored by SPATT, on the other hand, is correlated to anomalous upwelling and warmer than usual temperatures during the relaxation season. This work builds on previous analyses of the SCW time series and contributes to understanding of the circulation of dissolved toxin in the environment. Results lend rationale for the continuation of rigorous domoic acid monitoring in Monterey Bay and encourage stakeholders to consider local physical dynamics when interpreting toxin monitoring data.