One-year Thyroglobulin Levels as a Predictive Measure for Recurrence and Need for Continued Surveillance in Treated Differentiated Thyroid Cancer.

Purpose: Patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) undergo posttreatment surveillance for several years. We aim to better define an excellent response to therapy using thyroglobulin (TG) and thyroglobulin antibody (TGab) levels at 1-year to tailor appropriate length of surveillance.

Methods: Patients with DTC who underwent surgical treatment with or without adjuvant radioiodine therapy were followed with standard American Thyroid Association surveillance. TG and TGab levels at 1-year posttreatment were used to define 3 cohorts: undetectable TG (<0.5 ng/mL), detectable TG (≥0.5 ng/mL), and positive TGab (>1 IU/mL). The rates of structural recurrence and the trends of TG and TGab were compared.

Results: Of the 268 study patients at 1-year, 210 (78%) had undetectable TG, 29 (11%) had detectable TG, and 29 (11%) had positive TGab. The overall structural recurrence rate was 18/268 (7%): undetectable TG at 1 year, 3/210 (1%), detectable TG at 1-year, 11/29 (38%), and positive TGab at 1-year, 4/29 (13%). At the last follow-up, 196/210 (93%) patients with undetectable TG at 1-year continued to have undetectable TG levels. Regarding patients with detectable TG at 1-year, in 11/29 (38%), detectable TG was converted to undetectable TG at the last follow-up without additional treatments. Of those with positive TGab at 1 year, 6/29 (21%) had resolution of TGab and undetectable TG levels at the last follow-up without additional treatments.

Conclusion: One year after treatment of DTC, TG levels <0.5 ng/mL, in the absence of TGab, are associated with an exceedingly low risk of recurrence suggesting that further surveillance may not be warranted.