Association between postoperative hypotension and acute kidney injury after noncardiac surgery: a historical cohort analysis.

Purpose: The extent to which postoperative hypotension contributes to renal injury remains unclear, much less what the harm thresholds might be. We therefore tested the primary hypothesis that there is an absolute hypotensive arterial pressure threshold for acute kidney injury during the initial seven days after noncardiac surgery.

Methods: We conducted a single-centre historical cohort analysis of adults who had noncardiac surgery and had creatinine recorded preoperatively and postoperatively. Our exposure was the lowest postoperative mean arterial pressure, defined as the average of the three lowest postoperative pressure measurements. Our primary analysis was the association between the lowest mean arterial pressure and acute kidney injury, defined according to Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes initiative criteria. Our analysis was adjusted for potentially relevant confounding factors including intraoperative hypotension.

Results: Among 64,349 patients analyzed, 2,812 (4.4%) patients had postoperative acute kidney injury. Each 5-mm Hg decrease in the lowest mean arterial pressure was associated with a 28% (97.5% confidence interval [CI], 23 to 32; P < 0.001) increase in the odds of acute kidney injury for lowest mean arterial pressures < 80 mm Hg. Higher lowest pressures were not associated with acute kidney injury (odds ratio, 1.08; 97.5% CI, 0.99 to 1.17; P = 0.04) for each 5-mm Hg decrease in the lowest mean arterial pressure.

Conclusion: Postoperative hypotension, defined as the lowest postoperative mean arterial pressure < 80 mm Hg, was associated with acute kidney injury after noncardiac surgery. A prospective trial will be required to determine whether the observed association is causal and thus amenable to modification.