Forecasting and meta-features estimation of wastewater and climate change impacts in coastal region using manifold learning.

Environ Res

Department of Chemistry, AN-Najah National University, P.O. Box 7, Nablus, Palestine; Research Centre, Manchester Salt & Catalysis, Unit C, 88- 90 Chorlton Rd, M15 4AN Manchester, United Kingdom. Electronic address:

Published: January 2024

AI Article Synopsis

  • - South Asia's coastlines are facing significant changes due to climate change, including rising sea levels, which lead to shoreline erosion and increased flooding during storms.
  • - The effectiveness of managing estuary water quality is influenced by variations in stream flow, and assessing future vulnerabilities requires advanced digitized analytical platforms for better decision-making regarding climate impacts and waste planning.
  • - The paper discusses the creation of a forecasting platform for the south coastal region of India, which uses multi-model ensembles and manifold learning to address uncertainties in climate and wastewater impacts, achieving a high reliability rate in its predictions.

Article Abstract

South Asia's coastlines are the most densely inhabited and economically active ecosystems have already begun to shift due to climate change. Over the past century, climate change has contributed to a gradual and considerable rise in sea level, which has eroded shorelines and increased storm-related coastal flooding. The differences in estuary water quality over time, both seasonally and annually, have been efficiently controlled by changes in stream flow. Assessment requires digitized analytical platforms to lower the risk of catastrophes associated with climate change in coastal towns. To predict future changes in an area's vulnerability and waste planning decisions, a prospective investigation requires qualitative and quantitative scenarios. The paper concentrates on the development of a forecasting platform to evaluate the climate change and waste water impacts on the south coastal region of India. Due to the enhancement of Digitization, a multi-model ensemble combined with manifold learning is implemented on the multi-case models influencing the uncertainty probability rate of 23% and can be ignored with desired precaution on the coastal environmental. Because Manifold Learning Analysis results cannot be utilized directly in wastewater management studies because of their inherent biases, a statistical bias correction and meta-feature estimation have been implemented. Within the climate-hydrology modeling chain, the results demonstrate a wide range of expected changes in water resources in some places. Experimental statistics reveal that the forecasted rate of 91.45% will be the better choice to reduce the uncertainty of climatic change and wastewater management.

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Source
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2023.117355DOI Listing

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