Serum total tau, neurofilament light, and glial fibrillary acidic protein are associated with mortality in a population study.

Background: Total tau (t-tau), neurofilament light (NfL), and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) are neuronal cytoskeletal biomarkers that may indicate greater risk of poor outcomes in age-related conditions, including mortality. Health disparities experienced by some racial minority subgroups may influence biomarker expression and effects on longevity. We aimed to examine (a) associations of serum t-tau, NfL, and GFAP with overall and cardiovascular mortality and (b) differences in associations by racial background.

Methods: Data came from 1327 older participants from the Chicago Health and Aging Project (CHAP), a longitudinal population-based study. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to examine associations between concentrations of serum t-tau, NfL, and GFAP biomarker(s) and mortality (overall/cardiovascular mortality based on age at death). Interaction terms were used to examine differences between African-American and European-American participants. Models were adjusted for age, sex, education, the APOE-ε4 allele, body mass index, chronic health conditions, and cognitive and physical functioning.

Results: Models showed that fivefold higher concentrations of t-tau (HR = 1.46, 95% CI: 1.27, 1.68), NfL (HR = 2.13, 95% CI: 1.76, 2.58), and GFAP (HR = 1.43, 95% CI: 1.08, 1.90) were separately associated with increased risk of overall mortality, with higher risk in African Americans in t-tau or NfL. In models with all biomarkers, NfL (HR = 2.17, 95% CI: 1.65, 2.85) was associated with risk of overall mortality, with racial differences in t-tau. Higher concentrations of t-tau (HR = 1.32, 95% CI: 1.02, 1.70), NfL (HR = 1.95, 95% CI: 1.40, 2.72), and GFAP (HR = 1.87, 95% CI: 1.18, 2.98) were separately associated with risk of cardiovascular mortality, with racial differences in t-tau, NfL, or GFAP. In combined models, NfL (HR = 1.73, 95% CI: 1.08, 2.78) was associated with cardiovascular mortality.

Conclusions: Serum t-tau, NfL, and GFAP may be early indicators for mortality outcomes among older adults, with racial differences among associations.