The limited value of sentinel lymph node biopsy in lentigo maligna melanoma: A nomogram based on the results of 29 years of the nationwide dutch pathology registry (PALGA).

Background: Lentigo maligna melanoma (LMM) predominantly presents in the head and neck of the elderly. The value of sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) for LMM patients remains to be determined, as the reported average yield of positive lymph nodes is less than 10%. In this nationwide cohort study, we wanted to identify LMM patients with an increased risk of SLNB-positivity.

Methods: LMM with an SLNB indication according to the 8th AJCC melanoma guidelines were retrospectively identified from the nationwide network and registry of histo- and cytopathology in the Netherlands (PALGA). A penalized (LASSO) logistic regression analysis was performed to determine the optimal combination of clinicopathological factors to predict a positive SLNB.

Results: Between 1991 and 2020, 1989 LMM patients met our inclusion criteria. SLNB was performed in 16.7% (n = 333) and was positive in 7.5% (25/333). The false-negative rate was 21.9%. Clinically detectable regional lymph node (LN) metastases were found in 1.3% (n = 25). Clinicopathological characteristics best predictive for SLNB-positivity (Odds ratio; 95% CI) were age (0.95; 0.91-0.99), ulceration 1.59 (0.44-4.83), T4-stage (1.81; 0.43-6.2), male sex (1.97; 0.79-5.27), (lymph)angioinvasion (5.07; 0.94-23.31), and microsatellites (7.23; 1.56-32.7) (C-statistic 0.75). During follow-up, regional LN recurrences were detected in 4.2% (83/1989) of patients, of which the majority (74/83) had no evidence of regional LN metastases at baseline.

Conclusion: Our findings confirm the limited SLNB-positivity in LMM patients. Based on the identified high-risk clinicopathological features, a nomogram was developed to predict the risk of a positive SLNB.