Potential benefits of prenatal diagnosis of TGA in Australia may be outweighed by the adverse effects of earlier delivery: likely causation and potential solutions.

Objective: Prenatal diagnosis of transposition of great arteries (TGA) is expected to improve postoperative outcomes after neonatal arterial switch operation (ASO); however, published reports give conflicting results. We aimed to determine the association between prenatal diagnosis and early postoperative outcomes after neonatal ASO.

Methods: Cohort study involving 243 newborns who underwent ASO (70% prenatally diagnosed) between 2010 and 2019. Multivariable regression was used to determine the association between prenatal diagnosis and (a) birth characteristics and (b) postoperative outcomes.

Results: Gestational age and birthweight centile were lower and small-for-gestational-age more common (11.8% vs 1.4%) in those diagnosed prenatally. Among births which followed labour induction or prelabour caesarean, prenatal diagnosis was associated with earlier gestation at birth (mean (SD), 38.5 (1.6) vs 39.2 (1.4), p=0.01). Among births which followed spontaneous labour, prenatal diagnosis was associated with earlier gestation at labour onset (38.2 (1.8) vs 39.2 (1.4), p=0.01). Prenatal diagnosis was associated with longer postoperative mechanical ventilation (incidence rate ratio 1.74, 95% CI 1.37 to 2.21), intensive care (1.70, 1.31 to 2.21) and hospital length of stay (1.37, 1.14 to 1.66) after ASO. Gestational age mediated up to 60% of the effect of prenatal diagnosis on postoperative outcomes.

Conclusion: Among newborns undergoing ASO for TGA, prenatal diagnosis is associated with poorer early postoperative outcomes. In addition to minimising iatrogenic factors (such as planned births) resulting in earlier births, evaluation of other dynamics following a prenatal diagnosis which may result in poor fetal growth and earlier onset of spontaneous labour is important.