Purpose: Yolk sac tumors (YST) are a rare and aggressive germ cell tumor. We aimed to conduct a population-based cohort study and develop a nomogram to predict overall survival (OS) in pediatric patients with YST.

Methods: The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was used to identify all pediatric patients with YST diagnosed between 2000 and 2018. The log-rank test was used to compare survival curves. To examine the impact of each factor on overall survival, a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was created. Based on the results of the Cox regression model, a nomogram was constructed.

Results: A total of 520 YST patients were identified. Overall survival rates for all patients were 92.2% at 3-year and 90.3% at 5-year, respectively. The outcome of Cox proportional hazard regression revealed that age, gender, primary sites, and treatment regimens were important independent predictors in this model. Based on the Cox regression model, we created a nomogram for predicting OS in pediatric YST patients. The chance of death increased with age in patients. Furthermore, patients with extra-gonadal YST have a lower survival rate than those with gonadal YST.

Conclusions: Our study revealed that age, gender, and primary site were found to be the most important predictors of the overall survival of pediatric YST, providing crucial epidemiological information for clinical management.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00345-023-04616-4DOI Listing

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