The mediation effect of lipids, blood pressure and BMI between air pollutant mixture and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease: The CHCN-BTH cohort study.

Background: The combine effect of air pollutant mixture on atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) remain undefined. This study aims to explore the association between long-term exposure of air pollutants and ASCVD, focusing on the mediating role of lipids, blood pressure and BMI.

Methods: This study was based on the CHCN-BTH cohort study. The annual concentrations of air pollutants and PM constituents were sourced from in the Tracking Air Pollution in China (TAP) and ChinaHighAirPollutants (CHAP) datasets from 2014 to 2019. A Cox mixed-effects model was used to investigate the associations between long-term exposure of air pollutants and ASCVD. The combined impact of the air pollutant mixture was assessed using Quantile g-Computation. Stratified, sensitivity, and mediation analyses were conducted.

Results: A total of 27,134 participants aged 18-80 were recruited in the present study. We found that each IQR increase of PM, PM, NO, O, BC, SO, and OM were significantly associated with the incidence of ASCVD, the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95 % confidence interval (CI) were 1.55 (1.35, 1.78), 1.46 (1.27, 1.67), 1.30 (1.21, 1.39), 1.66 (1.41,1.95), 2.14 (1.63, 2.83), 1.65 (1.25, 2.17) and 1.92(1.52, 2.45), respectively. The combined effect of air pollutant mixture on ASCVD was 1.79 (1.46, 2.20), PM contributed 83.3 % to this combined effect. Mediation effect models suggested that air pollutants and ASCVD might be mediated through SBP, DBP, HDL-C, LDL-C, hsCRP and BMI (mediation proportion range from 1.3 % to 26.1 %), Notably, HDL-C played mediation roles of 11.3 % (7.0 %, 18.4), 26.1 % (17.7 %, 38.1 %) and 25.4 % (15.4, 47.7 %) in the effects of long-term exposure to PM PM and OM on ASCVD, respectively.

Conclusions: Long-term, high-level air pollutant exposure was significantly associated with an elevated risk of ASCVD, particularly for PM. Blood pressure, lipids and BMI, especially HDL-C, may mediate the effects of air pollutants exposure on ASCVD.