The effect of population density on outcomes of major trauma patients in Ireland.

Background: Time-sensitive emergencies in areas of low population density have statistically poorer outcomes. This includes incidents of major trauma. This study assesses the effect that population density at a receiving hospital of a major trauma patient has on survival.

Methods: Patients meeting Trauma Audit Research Network criteria for major trauma from 2016 to 2020 in Ireland were included in this retrospective observational study. Incident data were retrieved from the Major Trauma Audit, while data on population density were calculated from Irish state sources. The primary outcome measure of survival to discharge was compared to population density using logistic regression, adjusted for demographic and incident variables. Records were divided into population density tertiles to assess for between-group differences in potential predictor variables.

Results: Population density at a receiving hospital had no impact on mortality in Irish major trauma patients from our logistic regression model (OR = 1.01, 95% CI 0.98-1.05, p = 0.53). Factors that did have an impact were age, Charlson Comorbidity Index, Injury Severity Score, and the presence of an Orthopaedic Surgery service at the receiving hospital (all p < 0.001). Age and Charlson Comorbidity Index differed slightly by population density tertile; both were higher in areas of high population density (all p < 0.001).

Conclusions: Survival to discharge in Irish major trauma patients does not differ substantially based on population density. This is an important finding as Ireland moves to a new trauma system, with features based on population distribution. An Orthopaedic Surgery service is an important feature of a major trauma receiving hospital and its presence improves outcomes.