Calculated Small Dense Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Level is A Predominant Predictor for New Onset of Ischemic Heart Disease.

Aim: A high level of directly measured small dense low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (sdLDL-C) is a strong risk factor for ischemic heart disease (IHD). However, it remains unclear whether estimated sdLDL-C level is a predictor for IHD. We investigated the associations of new onset of IHD with levels of total cholesterol (TC), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), non-HDL-C, triglycerides (TG), LDL-C and calculated sdLDL-C by Sampson's equation.

Methods: After exclusion of subjects with IHD or those with TG ≥ 800 mg/dL, a total of 18,176 subjects (men/women: 11,712/6,464, mean age: 46 years) were recruited among 28,990 Japanese individuals who received annual health checkups.

Results: During the 10-year follow-up period, 456 men (3.9%) and 121 women (1.9%) newly developed IHD. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard analyses after adjustment of age, sex, obesity, smoking habit, family history of IHD, estimated glomerular filtration rate, hypertension and diabetes mellitus at baseline showed that the hazard ratio (HR) (1.38 [95% confidence interval: 1.03-1.85]) for new onset of IHD in subjects with the 4 quartile (Q4) of sdLDL-C (≥ 42 mg/dL) was significantly higher than that in subjects with the 1 quartile (Q1) (≤ 24 mg/dL) as the reference, though the adjusted HRs in subjects with Q2-Q4 of TC, HDL-C, non-HDL-C, LDL-C and TG were comparable with those in subjects with Q1 of the respective lipid fractions. The adjusted HR with a restricted cubic spline increased with a higher level of calculated sdLDL-C as a continuous value at baseline.

Conclusions: sdLDL-C level calculated by Sampson's equation is a predominant predictor for the development of IHD in a general Japanese population.