Novel prognostic gene signature for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma based on hypoxia.

Background: Currently, there is lack of marker to accurately assess the prognosis of patients diagnosed with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). This study aims to establish a hypoxia-related risk scoring model that can effectively predict the prognosis and chemotherapy outcomes of PDAC patients.

Methods: Using unsupervised consensus clustering algorithms, we comprehensively analyzed The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) data to identify two distinct hypoxia clusters and used the weighted gene co-expression network analysis (WGCNA) to examine gene sets significantly associated with these hypoxia clusters. Then univariate Cox regression, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression and multivariate Cox regression were used to construct a signature and its efficacy was evaluated using the International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC) PDAC cohort. Further, the correlation between the risk scores obtained from the signature and carious clinical, pathological, immunophenotype, and immunoinfiltration factors as well as the differences in immunotherapy potential and response to common chemotherapy drugs between high-risk and low-risk groups were evaluated.

Results: From a total of 8 significantly related modules and 4423 genes, 5 hypoxia-related signature genes were identified to construct a risk model. Further analysis revealed that the overall survival rate (OS) of patients in the low-risk group was significantly higher than the high-risk group. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the risk scoring signature was an independent factor for prognosis prediction. Analysis of immunocyte infiltration and immunophenotype showed that the immune score and the anticancer immune response in the high-risk were significantly lower than that in the low-risk group.

Conclusion: The constructed hypoxia-associated prognostic signature demonstrated could be used as a potential risk classifier for PDAC.