Prognosis prediction and comparison between pancreatic signet ring cell carcinoma and pancreatic duct adenocarcinoma: a retrospective observational study.

Background: Pancreatic signet ring cell carcinoma (PSRCC) is a rare and aggressive cancer that has been reported primarily as case reports. Due to limited large-scale epidemiological and prognostic analyses, the outcomes of PSRCC patients varies greatly in the absence of recognized first-line treatment strategies. This study aimed to compare the clinical features, treatment, and prognosis of PSRCC and pancreatic ductal cell carcinoma (PDAC), the most common subtype of pancreatic cancer, and to establish predictive models for these subtypes.

Methods: The data on PSRCC and PDAC patients from 1998 to 2018 was obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Thereafter, the clinical, demographic, and treatment characteristics of the two groups and the differences and influencing factors of the two groups were evaluated by propensity score matching (PSM), Kaplan-Meier survival curves, Cox risk regression analyses, and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) analysis. Next, prognosis models were constructed and validated by KM and ROC analysis. Finally, a nomogram was constructed, based on the results of these analyses, to predict survival outcomes of PSRCC and PDAC patients.

Results: A total of 84,789 patients (432 PSRCC and 84357 PDAC patients) were included in this study. The results of the study revealed that, compared to the PDAC patients, PSRCC patients were more likely to be male, aged between 58-72 years, have larger tumor masses, and less likely to undergo chemotherapy. Before PSM, the overall survival and cancer-specific survival of the PSRCC group were significantly lower than those PDAC group, but there was no difference in the prognosis of the two groups after PSM. Additionally, lymph node ratio (LNR), log odds of positive lymph node (LODDS), tumor size, age, T-stage, marital status, and summary stage were found to be independent prognostic factors for PSRCC. Lastly, the prediction model and nomogram based on these prognostic factors could accurately predict the survival rate of the patients in SEER datasets and external validation datasets.

Conclusion: The prognosis of PSRCC and PDAC patients is similar under the same conditions; however, PSRCC patients may have more difficulty in receiving better treatment, thus resulting in their poor prognosis.