The effect of Covid-19 pandemic on healthcare utilization in public vs private centers in Iran: a multiple group interrupted time-series analysis.

Background: The outbreak of Coronavirus in late 2019 and its continuation in the following years has affected all human societies, government organizations, and health systems. Access to health services is an important issue during crises. The present study aimed to investigate the effect of the Covid-19 pandemic on the consumption of health services in the public sector compared to the private sector in Iran.

Methods: The research population consisted of all insured individuals covered by Iran Health Insurance Organization in Fars province, which amounts to approximately 2,700,000 people. The required information including the utilization of laboratory, radiology, medicine, and hospitalization services was extracted on a monthly basis from February 2019 to February 2021. The Multiple Group Interrupted Time Series Analysis (MGITSA) was used for data analysis along with STATA.15 software.

Results: According to the findings of MGITSA, in the short-term, the utilization of private laboratory, radiology, medication, and hospital admissions had decreased by approximately 18,066, 8210, 135,445, and 1086 times, respectively (P < 0.05). In the long-run, the use of laboratory and radiology services had increased by about 2312 and 514 times (P < 0.05), respectively. The comparison between the public and private sectors showed that in the short-term, the use of radiology services decreased by about 12,525, while the use of medication increased by about 91,471 times (P < 0.05). In the long-run, the use of laboratory services decreased by about 1514 times (P = 0.076) and no change was observed in the other services utilization (in public relative to private centers).

Conclusions: Utilization of health services in the public versus private centers, except for medication and hospitalization, significantly decreased in the short-term. However the utilization of most services returned to the usual trend in the long-term. The reduction in access to health services could impose a significant burden of various diseases, at least in the short-term, and increase health costs in the coming years.