The impact of vascular access type on survival in haemodialysis: time for a paradigm shift? A prospective cohort study.

Introduction: Although arteriovenous autologous fistula is the vascular access of choice due to better long-term outcome than central venous catheters, the use of central venous catheters is increasing. Our study aims to describe the survival and epidemiological features of a cohort of dialysis patients with a focus on the role of vascular access.

Methods: Our study comprises a follow-up period from 2001 to 2020 in a single center. Descriptive analysis was performed on baseline data. Moreover, we analysed predictive variables of death with univariable and multivariable logistic regressions. Predictors of survival were analysed by univariable and multivariable Cox regression.

Results: Our analysis includes 754 patients undergoing chronic haemodialysis. In the multivariable logistic regression, the use of tunnelled catheters resulted protective against death from any cause (Odds Ratio 0.43; p = 0.017). In the multivariable Cox analysis, being "late referral" was associated with decreased survival in the first 6 months since haemodialysis start (Hazard Ratio 3.79; p = 0.001). In the subgroup of elderly (age ≥ 75 years) patients (n = 201/472) with a follow up of 7-60 months, multivariable logistic regression showed that tunnelled catheters at the start of haemodialysis were associated with lower mortality (Odds Ratio, 0.25; p = 0.021), whereas vascular disease was found to be the main risk factor for death (Odds Ratio, 5.11; p = 0.000). Moreover, vascular disease was confirmed as the only independent risk factor by Cox analysis (Hazard Ratio, 1.58; p = 0.017).

Conclusions: In our cohort, mortality was found to be more closely associated with comorbidities than with the type of vascular access. Tunnelled central venous catheters might be a viable option for haemodialysis patients.