Analysis of risk factors for intra-cystic hemorrhage in microwave ablation of partially cystic thyroid nodules.

Objective: The aim of this study is to identify risk factors of intra-cystic hemorrhage in microwave ablation of mixed solid and cystic microwave ablation s, and to design a preoperative nomogram to predict the risk value of intraoperative bleeding with the goal of individualizing the surgical approach toward different types of cystic and solid thyroid nodules.

Methods: A total of 241 patients with cystic-solid thyroid nodules who underwent ultrasound-guided percutaneous microwave ablation were retrospectively divided into a bleeding group and a non-bleeding group to compare the diameter, cystic proportion, cystic fluid nature, color Doppler flow imaging, Contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) findings, and operative methods. Based on univariate and multivariate analysis, the important risk factors of nodular intracapsular hemorrhage in the ablation procedure were projected to a nomogram for predicting the possibility of intraoperative hemorrhage in the thyroid cystic solid nodules.

Results: Intra-cystic hemorrhage was developed in 37 cases during the ablation of mixed thyroid nodules with a total incidence of 15% (37/241). Significant differences were found statistically between the two groups on the diameter of the lesions, CEUS findings, the cystic fluid ratio, and operative methods ( = 0.000, = 0.001, = 0.024, = 0.002). The possibility of intraoperative nodular intracapsular hemorrhage was predicted by the model based on the risk factors with the accuracy of 81% and prediction consistency index (C-index) of 0.78.

Conclusion: A new and efficient prediction model was developed based on the identified risk factors for intracapsular hemorrhage during microwave ablation of mixed thyroid nodules, which will aid in the development of targeted surgical planning for different types of cystic thyroid nodules, thus reducing the risk of hemorrhage during ablation.