Flare-ups After Nonsurgical Retreatments: Incidence, Associated Factors, and Prediction.

Introduction: The aims of this study were to determine the incidence, associated factors, and predictability of flare-ups after nonsurgical retreatments (NSRetx).

Methods: All patients (n = 3,666) who received NSRetx by 3 endodontists in 2 endodontic offices during a period of 6 years (2016-2022) were included. Demographic, diagnostic, and procedural data were collected. A flare-up was defined as moderate-severe pain with/without swelling that took place within 14 days of initiation of NSRetx and resulted in an unscheduled appointment. Bivariate analyses on the entire cohort and multivariable analyses on cases with complete dataset (n = 2,846) were performed to identify significant associations. A Random Forest algorithm was used to make a prediction model.

Results: Incidence of flare-ups was 3.95% (n = 145). Increased risk of flare-ups was associated with diabetes (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 2.01; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-3.97), mandibular teeth (AOR = 1.67; 95% CI, 1.11-2.52), moderate-severe preoperative pain on percussion (AOR = 2.13; 95% CI, 1.31-3.50), and pain on palpation (AOR = 1.63; 95% CI, 1.01-2.64). Lower risk of flare-up was associated with high blood pressure (AOR = 0.44; 95% CI, 0.21-0.82) (P < .05). The prediction model was not able to predict flare-ups with sufficient confidence (precision = 0.13).

Conclusions: Incidence of flare-ups following NSRetx was low (∼4%) and had a weak but significant association with the history of diabetes. Moderate-severe pain on percussion, pain on palpation (any intensity), and mandibular teeth had a significant association with flare-ups. The history of high blood pressure was associated with lower risk of flare-ups. Flare-ups were difficult to predict in this clinical setting.