Health care provider decision-making and the quality of maternity care: An analysis of postpartum care in Kenyan hospitals.

Evidence suggests that health care providers' non-adherence to clinical guidelines is widespread and contributes to poor patient outcomes across low- and middle-income countries. Through observations of maternity care in Kenya, we found limited adherence to guideline-recommended active monitoring of patients for signs of postpartum hemorrhage, the leading cause of maternal mortality, despite providers' having the necessary training and equipment. Using survey vignettes conducted with 144 maternity providers, we documented evidence consistent with subjective risk and perceived uncertainty driving providers' decisions to actively monitor patients. Motivated by these findings, we introduced a simple model of providers' decision-making about whether to monitor a patient, which may depend on their perceptions of risk, diagnostic uncertainty, and the value of new information. The model highlights key trade-offs between gathering diagnostic information through active monitoring versus waiting for signs and symptoms of hemorrhage to manifest. Our work provides a template for understanding provider decision-making and could inform interventions to encourage more proactive obstetric care.