Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor as Potential Biomarker for COVID-19 Severity.

Introduction: COVID-19 is characterized by immunological responses to viral replication and coherent with endothelitis, microvascular disturbance of lung vasculature and coagulopathy. Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor (VEGF) is a proangiogenic mediator regulating endothelial changes. It is induced by proinflammatory signaling and hypoxia. We sought to determine whether VEGF levels differ between SARS-CoV-2-positive patients of different disease severity and whether VEGF might be useful in risk stratification.

Methods: After retrospective screening of all SARS-CoV-2-positive patients treated in Unfallkrankenhaus Berlin in 2020, we included those with documented VEGF measurement. We extracted laboratory values and clinical parameters. An exploratory data analysis was performed to detect possible relations between VEGF level and clinical disease features.

Results: We included 167 SARS-CoV-2-positive patients of which 139 suffered from COVID-19. Seventy-one of the COVID-19 patients had to be treated in the intensive care unit (ICU), those patients exhibited higher VEGF levels than those being admitted to normal wards (535 vs 279 pg/L,  < .001). APACHE-2 (Acute Physiology And Chronic Health Evaluation Score) correlated with mortality and patients with high values showed higher VEGF concentrations on admission (456 vs 875 pg/L, p = 0.006). Receiver operating characteristic analytic revealed that the occurrence of organ dysfunctions like acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), shock, or acute kidney injury could be predicted by VEGF. It was significantly higher in patients who later died compared to survivors (637 vs 389 pg/mL,  = 0.041) and predicted mortality with same accuracy as established markers. In our cohort, association of VEGF above 277 pg/L on admission with risk of ARDS could be confirmed in logistic regression adjusting for possible confounding factors (odds ratio 3.1, 95% confidence interval: 1.34-7.7).

Discussion: Even though there are several limitations to this retrospective study it revealed that in COVID-19 patients VEGF can contribute to the prediction of necessity of ICU, mortality and the prediction of ARDS, kidney injury or shock. Its use in risk stratification and potential pathogenetic involvement should be further investigated.