Time-dependent analysis of the impact on early cytomegalovirus reactivation of HLA mismatch and acute graft-versus-host disease after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation from related donors in acquired aplastic anemia.

Cytomegalovirus (CMV) reactivation is an important issue in allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). The incidence of early CMV reactivation is notably high in HLA-mismatched HCT. However, the interactions between HLA mismatch and acute graft-versus-host disease (aGvHD), a time-dependent event, make it methodologically challenging to evaluate the independent impact on CMV reactivation of the two variables. We retrospectively analyzed 355 patients with acquired aplastic anemia who received related donor transplants using a unified antithymocyte globulin-based platform. Patients were divided into group 1 (6/6 HLA match), group 2 (1-2/6 HLA allelic mismatch), and group 3 (3/6 HLA allelic mismatch). The impact of covariates was analyzed through two models: (1) time-dependent Cox and (2) dynamic landmarking analysis. The time-dependent Cox model showed that the HLA mismatch of 3/6 alleles (hazard ratio (HR) =1.852, P = .004) and aGvHD (HR = 1.009, P = .019) were independent risk factors for CMV reactivation. With the dynamic landmarking analysis, a higher HLA disparity correlated to increased early CMV reactivation (HR = 1.606, P = .001) at all time points. Developing aGvHD following HCT was generally associated with a higher incidence of CMV reactivation (HR = 1.623, P = .013), though its impact decreased with successive later landmark time points. In conclusion, our data suggest that the higher HLA disparity and aGvHD increases susceptibility to early CMV reactivation. In particular, the dynamic landmarking analysis demonstrated the time-varying effect of aGvHD on CMV reactivation, and HLA mismatch showed a profound impact over time following HCT.