Intensive blood pressure control and the progression of IgA nephropathy: a cohort study using marginal structural models.

Background: In chronic kidney disease, current guidelines recommend systolic blood pressure (SBP) below 120 mmHg. However, the renoprotective effect of intensive blood-pressure (BP) lowering on immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) remains undetermined. We aimed to determine the effect of intensive BP control on the progression of IgAN.

Methods: At Peking University First Hospital, 1530 patients with IgAN were enrolled. An examination of the relationship between baseline and time-updated BP and composite kidney outcomes, defined as development of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) or a 30% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), was conducted. Baseline and time-updated BPs were modeled using multivariate causal hazards models and marginal structural models (MSMs).

Results: In a median follow-up of 43.5 (interquartile range 27.2, 72.7) months, 367 (24.0%) patients experienced the composite kidney outcomes. No significant associations were found between baseline BP and the composite outcomes. Using MSMs with time-updated SBP for analysis, a U-shaped association was found. In reference to SBP 110-119 mmHg, hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for the SBP categories <110, 120-129, 130-139 and ≥140 mmHg were 1.48 (1.02-2.17), 1.13 (0.80-1.60), 2.21 (1.54-3.16) and 2.91 (1.94-4.35), respectively. The trend was more prominent in patients with proteinuria ≥1 g/day and eGFR ≥60 mL/min/1.73 m2. After analyzing time-updated diastolic BP, no similar trend was observed.

Conclusions: In patients with IgAN, intensive BP control during the treatment period may retard the kidney disease progression, but the potential risk of hypotension still needs to be considered.