Number of recurrences is significantly associated with the post-acute pancreatitis diabetes mellitus in a population with hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis.

Background: Twenty-three percent of patients are diagnosed with diabetes mellitus after the first episode of acute pancreatitis. The incidence of post-acute pancreatitis diabetes mellitus is significantly higher than that of type 1 diabetes mellitus. Some studies have concluded that the all-cause mortality and worse prognosis of diabetes after pancreatitis are higher. We predicted that number of recurrences of pancreatitis would be significantly associated with the incidences of metabolic syndrome, abdominal obesity, and post-acute pancreatitis diabetes mellitus.

Methods: Patients admitted to our hospital for hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis from 2013-2021 were selected for a cross-sectional study. Statistical analysis methods were used to analyze the effect of recurrences on the long-term prognosis of patients with hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis.

Results: In this study, 101 patients with hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis were included: 60 (59.41%) in the recurrent acute pancreatitis group and 41 (40.59%) in the only one episode of acute pancreatitis group. Among all hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis patients, approximately 61.4% were diagnosed with abdominal obesity, 33.7% of patients are diagnosed with metabolic syndrome, 34.7% of patients are diagnosed with diabetes mellitus, and 21.8% of patients are diagnosed with post-acute pancreatitis diabetes mellitus. Recurrent acute pancreatitis were independent risk factors for post-acute pancreatitis diabetes mellitus in patients with hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis (odds ratio [OR] = 3.964, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.230-12.774) and the risk of post-acute pancreatitis diabetes mellitus in patients with three or more recurrent episodes was 6.607 times higher than that in patients without recurrent episodes (OR = 6.607, 95% CI = 1.412-30.916).

Conclusions: Recurrence is an independent risk factor for the development of post-acute pancreatitis diabetes mellitus and is significantly associated with the number of recurrences.