The long-term clinical course of moderate tricuspid regurgitation.

Background: To evaluate the long-term clinical outcome of a cohort of patients suffering from moderate tricuspid regurgitation (TR), regardless of its etiology.

Methods: Clinical and echocardiographic follow-up were assessed in 250 patients diagnosed with moderate TR between January 2016 and July 2020. TR progression at follow-up was defined as TR grade increase to at least severe. The primary endpoint was all-cause death; secondary endpoints were cardiovascular (CV) death and the composite of heart failure (HF) hospitalization plus tricuspid valve (TV) intervention.

Results: After a median follow-up of 3.6 years, TR progression occurred in 84 patients (34%). At multivariate analyses, atrial fibrillation (AF, OR 1.81, CI 1.01-3.29, p = 0.045) and right ventricular end-diastolic diameter (RVEDD, OR 2.19, CI 1.26-3.78, p = 0.005) were independent predictors of TR progression. The primary endpoint occurred in 59 patients (24%) and was significantly more frequent in the group with TR progression (p = 0.009). At multivariate analyses, chronic kideney disease (OR 2.80, CI 1.30-6.03, p = 0.009), left ventricular ejection fraction (OR 0.97, CI 0.94-0.99, p = 0.041) and TR progression (OR 2.32, CI 1.31-4.12, p = 0.004) were independent predictors of the primary outcome. Moreover, both the secondary endpoints of CV death and HF hospitalization plus TV intervention were more frequent in the TR progression group (p = 0.001 and p < 0.001, respectively).

Conclusions: Moderate TR progresses in a significant proportion of patients over a long-term follow-up, leading to a worse prognosis. TR progression is an independent determinant of hard clinical events and AF and RVEDD are associated with TR progression.