Factor copula models for item response data are more interpretable and fit better than (truncated) vine copula models when dependence can be explained through latent variables, but are not robust to violations of conditional independence. To circumvent these issues, truncated vines and factor copula models for item response data are joined to define a combined model, the so-called factor tree copula model, with individual benefits from each of the two approaches. Rather than adding factors and causing computational problems and difficulties in interpretation and identification, a truncated vine structure is assumed on the residuals conditional on one or two latent variables. This structure can be better explained as a conditional dependence given a few interpretable latent variables. On the one hand, the parsimonious feature of factor models remains intact and any residual dependencies are being taken into account on the other. We discuss estimation along with model selection. In particular, we propose model selection algorithms to choose a plausible factor tree copula model to capture the (residual) dependencies among the item responses. Our general methodology is demonstrated with an extensive simulation study and illustrated by analyzing Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder.
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11336-023-09917-6 | DOI Listing |
PLoS One
January 2025
College of Economics and Management, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai, China.
The dry bulk shipping market plays a crucial role in global trade. To examine the volatility, correlation, and risk spillover between freight rates in the BCI and BPI markets, this paper employs the GARCH-Copula-CoVaR model. We analyze the dynamic behavior of the secondary market freight index for dry bulk cargo, highlighting its performance in a complex financial environment and offering empirical support for the shipping industry and financial markets.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFPLoS One
January 2025
School of Business Management, Zhejiang Financial College, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
This paper investigates optimal ordering strategies in supply chains under two-level price fluctuations and initial profit allocation. By utilizing Copula functions to model the complex relationship between fluctuating prices and uncertain demand, the study develops both continuous and discrete decision models for practical applications. A discrete algorithm is proposed to approximate the optimal solution, with its convergence rigorously proven.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFJ Assist Reprod Genet
January 2025
Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Division of Reproductive Endocrinology and Infertility, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, USA.
Purpose: To develop a predictive model for estimating the total dose of gonadotropins and the number mature oocytes in planned oocyte cryopreservation cycles.
Methods: In this retrospective study, oocyte cryopreservation cycles recorded in the Society for Assisted Reproductive Technology Clinic Outcome Reporting System Database from 2013 to 2018 were analyzed. Bivariate copula additive models for location, scale, and shape were performed to create a predictive model for estimating total dose of gonadotropins and number of mature oocytes.
Sci Rep
January 2025
Department of Civil Engineering, Isfahan University of Technology, Isfahan, Iran.
Floods are among the most severe natural hazards, causing substantial damage and affecting millions of lives. These events are inherently multi-dimensional, requiring analysis across multiple factors. Traditional research often uses a bivariate framework relying on historical data, but climate change is expected to influence flood frequency analysis and flood system design in the future.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFAccid Anal Prev
December 2024
Queensland University of Technology, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Brisbane, Australia. Electronic address:
Time series analysis plays a vital role in modeling historical crash trends and predicting the possible changes in future crash trends. In existing safety literature, earlier studies employed multiple approaches to model long-term crash risk profiles, such as integer-valued autoregressive Poisson regression model, integer-valued generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic model, and generalized linear autoregressive and moving average models. However, these modeling frameworks often fail to fully capture several key properties of crash count data, especially negative serial correlation, and nonlinear dependence structures across temporal crash counts.
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