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Mathematical model analysis of effective intervention strategies on transmission dynamics of hepatitis B virus. | LitMetric

AI Article Synopsis

  • - Hepatitis B is a prevalent and serious infectious disease, affecting over 350 million people globally, and causing approximately 1 million deaths each year due to chronic infection.
  • - A nonlinear mathematical model was developed to analyze the transmission dynamics of Hepatitis B, incorporating factors like vaccination, treatment, migration, and screening, and evaluated for its stability and reproduction number.
  • - Recommendations from the findings emphasize the importance of widespread vaccination, thorough screening of exposed individuals and migrants, and early treatment for both exposed and chronically infected individuals to reduce HBV transmission.

Article Abstract

Hepatitis B is one of the world's most common and severe infectious diseases. Worldwide, over 350 million people are currently estimated to be persistent carriers of the hepatitis B virus (HBV), with the death of 1 million people from the chronic stage of HBV infection. In this work, developed a nonlinear mathematical model for the transmission dynamics of HBV. We constructed the mathematical model by considering vaccination, treatment, migration, and screening effects. We calculated both disease-free and endemic equilibrium points for our model. Using the next-generation matrix, an effective reproduction number for the model is calculated. We also proved the asymptotic stability of both local and global asymptotically stability of disease-free and endemic equilibrium points. By calculating the sensitivity indices, the most sensitive parameters that are most likely to affect the disease's endemicity are identified. From the findings of this work, we recommend vaccination of the entire population and screening all the exposed and migrants. Additionally, early treatment of both the exposed class after screening and the chronically infected class is vital to decreasing the transmission of HBV in the community.

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Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10227825PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-35815-zDOI Listing

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