One-year change in the health status predicts the subsequent hospitalization and mortality in patients waitlisted for lung transplantation in Japan.

Background: Poor health-related quality of life (HRQL) at the registration for lung transplantation is related to waitlist mortality. We investigated the relationship between 1-year change in HRQL and subsequent outcomes in patients waitlisted for lung transplantation.

Methods: In a 5-year longitudinal study, we analyzed the factors related to waitlist mortality in 197 lung transplant patients registered on the Japan Organ Transplant Network. HRQL was assessed using St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ), and factors related to changes in SGRQ scores were evaluated after 1 year. We assessed the relationship between the 1-year change in SGRQ score and subsequent mortality or hospitalization.

Results: Among 197 patients, 108 remained waitlisted during the first-year assessment. During the median follow-up period of 469 d, 28 patients died, and 54 underwent lung transplantation. Univariate Cox proportional hazards analysis revealed that the changes in all components and total score of the SGRQ after 1 year were associated with waitlist mortality (p < 0.05). Stepwise multivariate analysis revealed that the 1-year changes in SGRQ scores were significantly related to waitlist mortality. Forty-three patients with worsened HRQL after 1 year had higher likelihoods of hospitalization (p = 0.038) and mortality (p = 0.026) after 1 and 4 years of follow-up, respectively, than 61 patients without worsened HRQL.

Conclusions: Patients with worsened health status during the first year after registration had higher likelihoods of hospitalization and mortality after 1 and 4 years of follow-up, respectively, than those without worsened HRQL. Strategies to improve health status while waiting are needed to reduce waitlist hospitalization or mortality.