Short sleep duration and atrial fibrillation risk: A comprehensive analysis of observational cohort studies and genetic study.

Background: Previous observational studies are inconclusive on whether an association exists between short sleep duration and the high risk of developing atrial fibrillation (AF). Understanding their potential association would be of great clinical significance. Thus, in this study, we aimed to explore their causal relationship.

Methods And Results: We meta-analyzed the association between short sleep duration and the risk of developing AF by including six observational studies. Based on genetic susceptibility analysis using the mendelian randomization (MR) method, we identified 16 genetic loci that might link short sleep duration and the high risk of developing AF. Meta-analysis showed a significant association between short sleep duration and a higher risk of developing AF (RR = 1.06, 95% CI 1.02-1.11, P = 0.005). However, the fixed-effect and random-effect inverse variance weighted (IVW) models using the MR method showed a non-obvious effect of short sleep duration on the risk of developing AF (OR, 0.979; 95% CI, 0.880-1.089, P = 0.693; OR, 0.979; 95% CI, 0.857-1.117, P = 0.750, respectively). Other models, also showed no statistical difference. No heterogeneity or asymmetry was observed, as Cochran's Q test showed. The leave-one-out sensitivity analysis demonstrated good robust results, which were not subject to directional pleiotropy.

Conclusion: Meta-analysis and MR analysis demonstrated inconsistent results on the relationship between short sleep duration and a high risk of developing AF. Specifically, while meta-analysis confirmed that short sleep duration increases the risk of developing AF, MR analysis did not support a causal association between genetically determined short sleep and risk of AF.