Value of Multimodal Data From Clinical and Sonographic Parameters in Predicting Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Curative Treatment.

Objective: The objective of the work described here was to assess the value of the combination of pre-operative multimodal data-including clinical data, contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) information and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) based on 2-D shear wave elastography (SWE)-in predicting early (within 1 y) and late (after 1 y) recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after curative treatment.

Methods: We retrospectively included 101 patients with HCC who met the Milan criteria and received curative treatment. The multimodel data from clinical parameters, LSM by 2-D SWE and CEUS enhancement patterns were collected. The association between different variables in HCC recurrence was accessed using a Cox proportional hazard model. On the basis of the independent factors of early recurrence, models with different source variables were established (Clinical Model, CEUS-Clinical Model, SWE-Clinical Model, CEUS-SWE-Clinical Model). The goodness-of-fit of models was evaluated and the performance trends of different models were calculated by time-dependent area under the curve (AUC).

Results: Two-dimensional SWE, CEUS enhancement patterns and clinical parameters (spleen length, multiple tumors, α-fetoprotein, albumin and prothrombin time) were independently associated with early recurrence (all p values <0.05). Multiple tumors and a decrease in albumin independently contributed to the late recurrence. The model fit of CEUS-SWE-Clinical Model was superior to other models in predicting early recurrence (all p values <0.05). The AUCs of the CEUS-Clinical Model were higher from 2 mo to 7 mo, while the SWE-Clinical Model had higher AUCs from 9 mo to 12 mo.

Conclusion: CEUS enhancement patterns and 2-D SWE were independent predictors of HCC early recurrence as the two factors contributed to the predictive performance at different times. The multimodal model, which included diverse data in predicting early HCC recurrence, had the best goodness-of-fit.