Predictors of dropout from treatment among patients using specialized addiction treatment centers.

Objectives: This study investigated the use of outpatient care, and sociodemographic and clinical characteristics of patients with substance-related disorders (SRD) to predict treatment dropout from specialized addiction treatment centers. The study also explored risks of adverse outcomes, frequent emergency department (ED) use (3+ visits/year), and death, associated with treatment dropout within the subsequent 12 months.

Methods: The study examined a cohort of 16,179 patients who completed their last treatment episode for SRD between 2012-13 and 2014-15 (financial years: April 1 to March 31) in 14 specialized addiction treatment centers using Quebec (Canada) health administrative databases. We used multivariable logistic regressions to measure risk of treatment dropout (1996-96 to 2014-15), while we used survival analysis controlling for sex and age to assess the odds of frequent ED use and death in 2015-16.

Results: Of the 55 % of patients reporting dropout from SRD treatment over the 3-year period, 17 % were frequent ED users, and 1 % died in the subsequent 12 months. Patients residing in the most socially deprived areas, having polysubstance-related disorders or personality disorders, and having previously dropped out from specialized addiction treatment centers had increased odds of current treatment dropout. Older patients, those with a history of homelessness, past SRD treatment, or more concurrent outpatient care outside specialized addiction treatment centers had decreased odds of treatment dropout. Patients who dropped out were subsequently at higher risk of frequent ED use and death.

Conclusions: This study highlighted that patients with more severe problems and previous dropout may need more sustained and adequate help to prevent subsequent treatment dropout. Specialized addiction treatment centers may consider enhancing their follow-up care of patients over a longer duration and better integrating their treatment with other outpatient care resources to meet the multiple needs of the more vulnerable patients using their services.