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Adjusted morbidity groups and survival: a retrospective cohort study of primary care patients with chronic conditions. | LitMetric

AI Article Synopsis

  • * The research followed 9,866 patients from June 2015 to June 2018, revealing that 4.8% died, with a median survival of 36 months, and identified various risk factors affecting survival such as age, palliative care, and the number of chronic conditions.
  • * Findings indicate that higher risk levels and factors like old age, complex health needs, and multiple medications are associated with lower survival rates, suggesting the need for targeted healthcare strategies for high-risk patients.

Article Abstract

Background: Chronic conditions are one of the main determinants of frailty, functional disability, loss of quality of life and the number one cause of death worldwide. This study aimed to describe the survival of patients with chronic conditions who were followed up in primary care according to the level of risk by adjusted morbidity groups and to analyse the effects of sex, age, clinician and care factors on survival.

Methods: This was a longitudinal observational study of a retrospective cohort of patients with chronic conditions identified by the adjusted morbidity group stratifier of the electronic medical records in a primary health centre of the Region of Madrid, which has an assigned population of 18,107 inhabitants. The follow-up period was from June 2015 to June 2018. A description of survival according to the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards multivariate regression model was used to analyse the effects of sex, age, clinician and care factors.

Results: A total of 9,866 patients with chronic conditions were identified; 77.4% (7,638) had a low risk, 18.1% (1,784) had a medium risk, and 4.5% (444) had a high risk according to the adjusted morbidity groups. A total of 477 patients with chronic conditions died (4.8%). The median survival was 36 months. The factors associated with lower survival were age over 65 years (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.3; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.1-1.6), receiving palliative care (HR = 3.4; 95% CI = 2.6-4.5), high versus low risk level (HR = 2.4; 95% CI = 1.60-3.7), five chronic conditions or more (HR = 1.5; 95% CI = 1.2-2), complexity index (HR = 1.01; 95% CI = 1.02-1.04) and polymedication (HR = 2.6; 95% CI = 2.0-3.3).

Conclusions: There was a gradual and significant decrease in the survival of patients with chronic conditions according to their level of risk as defined by adjusted morbidity groups. Other factors, such as older age, receiving palliative care, high number of chronic conditions, complexity, and polymedication, had a negative effect on survival. The adjusted morbidity groups are useful in explaining survival outcomes and may be valuable for clinical practice, resource planning and public health research.

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Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10120109PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12875-023-02059-9DOI Listing

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