Background: The degree of dysplasia is the most important prognostic factor for patients with resected intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms. Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms are predominantly premalignant conditions; in most cases, surveillance is an adequate treatment. If worrisome features are present, surgery should be considered. However, there is limited data on the long-term prognosis of resected intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms. We aimed to ascertain the nationwide survival of patients with resected intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms and identify factors associated with survival.
Methods: This is a retrospective nationwide cohort study. All intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms operated on in Finland between 2000 and 2008 were identified. Patient records were evaluated, and original radiologic data and histologic samples were re-evaluated. Survival data were collected after a 10-year follow-up period.
Results: Out of 2,024 pancreatic resections, 88 were performed for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm. The median age of the patients was 65 years. Histologic diagnoses were main duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm 47/88 (53,4%), mixed-type intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm 27/88 (30.7%), and branchduct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm 14/88 (15.9%). Of the tumors, 40/88 (45.5%) were low-grade dysplasia, 9/88 (10.2%) high-grade, and 39/88 (44.3%) were invasive cancer. The median survival was 121 (range 0-252) months. Ten-year survival was 72.5%, 66.7%, and 23.1% in the low-grade dysplasia, high-grade dysplasia, invasive cancer groups, respectively. Ten-year mortality for pancreatic cancer was 5%, 9.1%, and 71.8% in the low-grade dysplasia, high-grade dysplasia, invasive cancer groups, respectively.
Conclusion: Overall, 44.3% of the patients had a malignant tumor, and three-quarters (74.5%) of the main duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms were malignant or high-grade dysplasia at the time of surgery. Ten-year survival was significantly better in patients operated on at the stage of a premalignant tumor (low-grade dysplasia + high-grade dysplasia) than in patients operated on at the stage of a malignant tumor.
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